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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

5-8-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 9 • 6:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

10-3-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Egor Zamula
GOALTENDER

Egor Zamula

#5 | D
@
Niko Mikkola
GOALTENDER

Niko Mikkola

#77 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Egor Zamula None-None -- -- --
Niko Mikkola None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
FLYERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Florida)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 PanthersFLA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

32.6%

Panthers Cover

67.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around FLA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FLA)

PHI By 1 goal

12.7%

PHI By 2-3 goals

10.1%

FLA By 1 goal

19.7%

FLA By 2-3 goals

28.5%

AI Model Projected Score
2.33
PHILADELPHIA
3.23
FLORIDA
Simulated Score
3
PHILADELPHIA
4
FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 26, 2025 PHI @ FLA 4 - 2
Oct 13, 2025 FLA @ PHI 2 - 5
Oct 9, 2025 PHI @ FLA 1 - 2
Jan 13, 2025 FLA @ PHI 3 - 4
Dec 5, 2024 FLA @ PHI 7 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.5% more
Florida: 30.0 vs Philadelphia: 23.5
Power Play % (L5) +23.1%
Florida: 33.3% vs Philadelphia: 10.2%
Takeaways (L5) +43.6% more
Philadelphia: 8.9 vs Florida: 5.0
Blocked Shots (L5) +35.0% more
Philadelphia: 18.8 vs Florida: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.3 3
FLA Score 3.2 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.2 / 18.8 7.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 43.6 / 53.7 55.7 / 44.3
Hits 22.2 / 22.5 16.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 3332.0 / 1020.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 30.0 / 23.5 31.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 8.9 3.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
14%TICKETS86%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
79%MONEY21%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
PHI
FLA
PHI
ML
0% 0-4
75% 3-1
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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