PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
4-7-0 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
8-2-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Aleksei Kolosov
#35 | G@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksei Kolosov | None-None | 5.09 | 0.853 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 4.00 | 0.750 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.09
GAA
Ldr 4.00
0.853 Ldr
Save %
0.750
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
FLYERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
PHI By 1 goal
8.4%
PHI By 2-3 goals
5.3%
CAR By 1 goal
18.8%
CAR By 2-3 goals
35.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
1.92
PHILADELPHIA
Carolina
3.56
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Carolina
5
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 9, 2026
CAR @ PHI
3 - 2
May 7, 2026
CAR @ PHI
4 - 1
May 4, 2026
PHI @ CAR
2 - 3
May 2, 2026
PHI @ CAR
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+80.8% more
Carolina: 39.2
vs
Philadelphia: 21.7
Takeaways (L5)
+18.4% more
Carolina: 7.6
vs
Philadelphia: 6.5
Power Play % (L5)
+15.8%
Carolina: 22.1%
vs
Philadelphia: 6.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+50.0% more
Philadelphia: 20.3
vs
Carolina: 10.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
1.9
4
CAR Score
3.6
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.2 / 20.3
9.0 / 20.0
Faceoff %
48.2 / 53.0
41.1 / 58.9
Hits
14.4 / 24.3
13.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
22.1 / 6.3
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
39.2 / 21.7
35.0 / 16.0
Takeaways
7.6 / 6.5
4.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
PHI
CAR
PHI
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
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