BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
6-6-0 | Road
0
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
6-5-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 3.02 | 0.885 | -- |
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.02
GAA
Ldr 0.00
0.885
Save %
Ldr 1.000
--
SO
Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
BRUINS
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
BOS By 1 goal
15.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
13.9%
TOR By 1 goal
19.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
23.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.23
BOSTON
Toronto
2.7
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 24, 2026
TOR @ BOS
4 - 2
Nov 11, 2025
TOR @ BOS
3 - 5
Nov 8, 2025
BOS @ TOR
5 - 3
Feb 25, 2025
TOR @ BOS
5 - 4
Jan 4, 2025
BOS @ TOR
4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.4% more
Toronto: 26.2
vs
Boston: 21.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+10.8% more
Toronto: 31.5
vs
Boston: 28.4
Power Play % (L5)
+4.7%
Toronto: 17.6%
vs
Boston: 12.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+3.1%
Toronto: 57.5%
vs
Boston: 54.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.2
0
TOR Score
2.7
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.8 / 19.4
12.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
57.5 / 54.4
54.8 / 45.2
Hits
26.2 / 21.9
19.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
17.6 / 12.9
42.9 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.5 / 28.4
27.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 6.0
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
BOS
TOR
BOS
ML
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
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