MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-5 | Road
114
CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
7-0 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
BUCKS
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
MIL By 1-7 points
7.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
1.9%
CLE By 1-7 points
19.2%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
100.47
MILWAUKEE
Cleveland
113.06
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
106
MILWAUKEE
Cleveland
100
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.6
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 213.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 206.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
CLE @ MIL
123 - 116
Feb 25, 2026
CLE @ MIL
116 - 118
Nov 17, 2025
MIL @ CLE
106 - 118
Oct 26, 2025
MIL @ CLE
113 - 118
Mar 9, 2025
CLE @ MIL
112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+30.7% more
Cleveland: 28.9
vs
Milwaukee: 22.1
Steals (L5)
+24.9% more
Cleveland: 7.6
vs
Milwaukee: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Cleveland: 74.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 63.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Cleveland: 39.3%
vs
Milwaukee: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
100.5
114
CLE Score
113.1
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 34.2
45.9 / 48.6
Assists
28.9 / 22.1
28.0 / 21.0
Blocks
3.7 / 4.1
4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.7 / 46.0
50.5 / 48.8
Free Throw %
74.9 / 63.8
53.8 / 86.7
Rebounding
43.8 / 42.9
39.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.6 / 6.1
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 13.9
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
MIL
CLE
MIL
ML
60%
69-46
64%
61-35
56%
55-44
60%
49-32
ATS
67%
75-37-3
68%
65-31
56%
55-44
60%
49-32
TTL
59%
68-47
55%
53-43
100%
99-0
100%
81-0
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