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EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

5-5-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

6-4-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Ty Emberson
GOALTENDER

Ty Emberson

#49 | Defense
@
Brayden Pachal
GOALTENDER

Brayden Pachal

#94 | Defense
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ty Emberson None-None -- -- --
Brayden Pachal None-None -- -- --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA --
-- Save % --
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
OILERS --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Calgary)
OilersEDM (-3.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oilers Cover

20.9%

Flames Cover

79.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

EDM By 1 goal

8.5%

EDM By 2-3 goals

5.4%

CGY By 1 goal

18.8%

CGY By 2-3 goals

35.0%

AI Model Projected Score
1.13
EDMONTON
2.75
CALGARY
Simulated Score
4
EDMONTON
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Oilers Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Oilers (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 3.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 4, 2026 EDM @ CGY 3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025 EDM @ CGY 2 - 3
Dec 23, 2025 CGY @ EDM 1 - 5
Oct 8, 2025 CGY @ EDM 4 - 3
Mar 29, 2025 CGY @ EDM 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +100.4% more
Calgary: 28.6 vs Edmonton: 14.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +28.3% more
Calgary: 19.1 vs Edmonton: 14.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.6% more
Edmonton: 33.2 vs Calgary: 28.4
Power Play % (L5) +8.4%
Edmonton: 10.7% vs Calgary: 2.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EDM Score 1.1 4
CGY Score 2.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 19.1 / 14.9 15.0 / 25.0
Faceoff % 46.5 / 54.4 53.2 / 46.8
Hits 28.6 / 14.3 13.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 2.3 / 10.7 50.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 28.4 / 33.2 31.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 5.8 / 5.5 4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
64%MONEY36%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
90%TICKETS10%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
EDM
CGY
EDM
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
67% 2-1
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Penguins Trade Hallander to Oilers for Defenseman Stastney
observer_reporter 1 day ago
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
yardbarker 1 day, 6 hours ago
NHL Analyst Drops Bombshell: Connor McDavid Will Leave Oilers Du…
newsweek 3 days, 6 hours ago
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers
yardbarker 4 days, 1 hour ago
Canucks Aim to Stun Oilers Again in Home Opener After Overtime T…
yardbarker 1 week ago