CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
6-0 | Road
114
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-4 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
BUCKS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
209.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.8
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.8 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
18.9%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.0%
MIL By 1-7 points
7.1%
MIL By 8-14 points
1.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
111.35
CLEVELAND
Milwaukee
98.59
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.8
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 209.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 17, 2026
CLE @ MIL
123 - 116
Feb 25, 2026
CLE @ MIL
116 - 118
Nov 17, 2025
MIL @ CLE
106 - 118
Oct 26, 2025
MIL @ CLE
113 - 118
Mar 9, 2025
CLE @ MIL
112 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.0% more
Cleveland: 27.9
vs
Milwaukee: 21.2
Steals (L5)
+22.9% more
Cleveland: 9.9
vs
Milwaukee: 7.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.1%
Cleveland: 39.2%
vs
Milwaukee: 28.2%
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.9%
Cleveland: 75.6%
vs
Milwaukee: 65.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
111.4
114
MIL Score
98.6
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.2 / 39.2
46.2 / 39.5
Assists
21.2 / 27.9
24.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.7 / 4.6
3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 51.8
48.3 / 48.4
Free Throw %
65.7 / 75.6
60.0 / 73.3
Rebounding
41.9 / 43.2
45.0 / 45.0
Steals
7.7 / 9.9
3.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
14.3 / 13.5
13.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
MIL
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CLE
MIL
CLE
ML
64%
61-35
60%
69-46
60%
49-32
56%
55-44
ATS
68%
65-31
67%
75-37-3
60%
49-32
56%
55-44
TTL
55%
53-43
59%
68-47
100%
81-0
100%
99-0
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