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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

6-4-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Nov 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

5-6-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Chris Tanev
GOALTENDER

Chris Tanev

#8 | Defense
@
Jordan Binnington
GOALTENDER

Jordan Binnington

#50 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Chris Tanev None-None -- -- --
Jordan Binnington None-None 2.01 0.946 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 2.01
-- Save % 0.946
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
100%
📊
BLUES
0%
MAPLE LEAFS --
BLUES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (St. Louis)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 BluesSTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

46.2%

Blues Cover

53.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around STL -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

TOR By 1 goal

16.6%

TOR By 2-3 goals

16.7%

STL By 1 goal

18.2%

STL By 2-3 goals

20.7%

AI Model Projected Score
2.6
TORONTO
2.79
ST. LOUIS
Simulated Score
3
TORONTO
2
ST. LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Maple Leafs Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blues (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim Maple Leafs (-0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 28, 2026 TOR @ STL 1 - 5
Nov 18, 2025 STL @ TOR 2 - 3
Nov 2, 2024 TOR @ STL 2 - 4
Oct 24, 2024 STL @ TOR 5 - 1
Feb 19, 2024 TOR @ STL 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +9.5%
St. Louis: 11.6% vs Toronto: 2.1%
Takeaways (L5) +37.8% more
Toronto: 6.9 vs St. Louis: 4.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.5% more
Toronto: 31.4 vs St. Louis: 25.5
Faceoff % (L5) +12.7%
Toronto: 58.5% vs St. Louis: 45.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 2.6 2
STL Score 2.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.4 / 15.6 17.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 45.8 / 58.5 34.7 / 65.3
Hits 24.8 / 27.4 17.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 1157.0 / 210.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.5 / 31.4 24.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 6.9 3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
82%MONEY18%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
99%MONEY1%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
93%MONEY7%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
TOR
STL
TOR
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 1-1-1
100% 4-0
50% 1-1-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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