ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
5-5-0 | Road
1
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
3-6-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jordan Binnington
#50 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Nick Seeler
#24 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | None-None | 2.08 | 0.905 | -- |
| Nick Seeler | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.08
GAA
--
0.905
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
100%
FLYERS
0%
BLUES
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
STL By 1 goal
16.4%
STL By 2-3 goals
16.1%
PHI By 1 goal
18.4%
PHI By 2-3 goals
21.3%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
1.73
ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia
1.97
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Flyers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.2
D
Sim
Blues (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 3.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 20, 2025
STL @ PHI
2 - 3
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ STL
6 - 5
Nov 30, 2024
PHI @ STL
3 - 2
Oct 31, 2024
STL @ PHI
1 - 2
Mar 4, 2024
STL @ PHI
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+51.7% more
Philadelphia: 6.8
vs
St. Louis: 4.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.4% more
Philadelphia: 19.5
vs
St. Louis: 16.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+11.9%
Philadelphia: 57.4%
vs
St. Louis: 45.4%
Hits (L5)
+8.4% more
Philadelphia: 27.3
vs
St. Louis: 25.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
1.7
1
PHI Score
2.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.5 / 16.0
24.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
57.4 / 45.4
53.5 / 46.5
Hits
27.3 / 25.2
10.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
1419.0 / 1735.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.3 / 27.8
21.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
6.8 / 4.5
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
STL
PHI
STL
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
1-1-1
50%
2-2
50%
1-1-1
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