BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
4-5-0 | Road
2
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
6-2-0 | Home
8
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Pyotr Kochetkov
#52 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 12.19 | 0.727 | -- |
| Pyotr Kochetkov | None-None | 2.00 | 0.867 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
12.19
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.727
Save %
Ldr 0.867
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
BRUINS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
BOS By 1 goal
17.2%
BOS By 2-3 goals
18.0%
CAR By 1 goal
17.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2.46
BOSTON
Carolina
2.52
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Boston
6
BOSTON
Carolina
7
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 13.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
BOS @ CAR
5 - 6
Nov 17, 2025
CAR @ BOS
3 - 1
Nov 1, 2025
CAR @ BOS
1 - 2
Apr 5, 2025
CAR @ BOS
1 - 5
Mar 6, 2025
BOS @ CAR
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+28.2% more
Carolina: 36.0
vs
Boston: 28.1
Power Play % (L5)
+8.8%
Carolina: 19.7%
vs
Boston: 10.9%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.6%
Carolina: 49.0%
vs
Boston: 44.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.7% more
Boston: 15.0
vs
Carolina: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.5
2
CAR Score
2.5
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.1 / 15.0
7.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
49.0 / 44.4
43.8 / 56.2
Hits
18.9 / 24.6
12.0 / 32.0
Power Play %
19.7 / 10.9
60.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
36.0 / 28.1
37.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
6.4 / 7.2
11.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
BOS
CAR
BOS
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
TTL
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
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