SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
5-4-0 | Road
1
TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
5-4-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Chris Tanev
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 3.19 | 0.897 | -- |
| Chris Tanev | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.19
GAA
--
0.897
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
KRAKEN
--
MAPLE LEAFS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
SEA By 1 goal
13.9%
SEA By 2-3 goals
11.8%
TOR By 1 goal
19.5%
TOR By 2-3 goals
26.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3.36
SEATTLE
Toronto
4.06
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Maple Leafs
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Maple Leafs (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
TOR @ SEA
2 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
SEA @ TOR
4 - 3
Feb 6, 2025
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Oct 31, 2024
SEA @ TOR
1 - 4
Jan 21, 2024
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+75.7% more
Toronto: 7.4
vs
Seattle: 4.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.2% more
Toronto: 32.0
vs
Seattle: 24.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.8%
Toronto: 59.9%
vs
Seattle: 53.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+26.3%
Seattle: 29.4%
vs
Toronto: 3.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.4
1
TOR Score
4.1
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 17.7
15.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
59.9 / 53.0
55.6 / 44.4
Hits
24.1 / 22.3
34.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
315.0 / 2940.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 24.8
30.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
7.4 / 4.2
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
SEA
TOR
SEA
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
TTL
100%
4-0
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
Contextual Game News
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