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MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

0-1  |  Road

117
FINAL
Thu, Oct 24 • 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center
View Odds Details →

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

0-0  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
📊
KINGS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES --
KINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (Minnesota)
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 KingsSAC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

65.2%

Kings Cover

34.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-7 points

27.4%

MIN By 8-14 points

21.5%

SAC By 1-7 points

20.3%

SAC By 8-14 points

9.4%

AI Model Projected Score
104.09
MINNESOTA
100.17
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
MINNESOTA
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Timberwolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.9
D
Sim Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 204.3
D
Sim u0.0 Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 14, 2025 SAC @ MIN 103 - 117
Nov 24, 2025 MIN @ SAC 112 - 117
Nov 14, 2025 SAC @ MIN 110 - 124
Nov 9, 2025 MIN @ SAC 144 - 117
Feb 3, 2025 SAC @ MIN 116 - 114
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.0%
Minnesota: 34.4% vs Sacramento: 26.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.1%
Minnesota: 44.5% vs Sacramento: 40.4%
Steals (L5) +78.4% more
Sacramento: 12.0 vs Minnesota: 6.7
Turnovers (L5) +13.3% more
Sacramento: 17.9 vs Minnesota: 15.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 104.1 117
SAC Score 100.2 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 26.4 / 34.4 37.9 / 40.0
Assists 25.0 / 23.3 21.0 / 24.0
Blocks 2.8 / 2.8 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 44.5 46.3 / 47.7
Free Throw % 75.7 / 74.4 80.0 / 88.2
Rebounding 45.1 / 46.8 38.0 / 42.0
Steals 12.0 / 6.7 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 17.9 / 15.8 9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN Advantage
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
MIN
SAC
MIN
ML
55% 55-45
54% 63-53
61% 50-32
54% 50-43
ATS
54% 52-45-3
58% 67-49
61% 50-32
54% 50-43
TTL
58% 57-42-1
63% 72-43-1
100% 82-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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