MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
0-0 | Road
124
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
0-0 | Home
109
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
0%
76ERS
100%
BUCKS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-7 points
26.0%
MIL By 8-14 points
16.4%
PHI By 1-7 points
24.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
98.15
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
97.46
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -0.7
D
Sim
Loss
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 195.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Loss
Proj Total: 0.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
MIL @ PHI
106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026
MIL @ PHI
122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025
PHI @ MIL
116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025
PHI @ MIL
123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025
MIL @ PHI
126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+31.4% more
Milwaukee: 5.4
vs
Philadelphia: 3.7
Assists (L5)
+26.4% more
Milwaukee: 25.9
vs
Philadelphia: 19.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.9%
Milwaukee: 36.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 31.1%
Steals (L5)
+23.5% more
Philadelphia: 9.2
vs
Milwaukee: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
98.2
124
PHI Score
97.5
109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.1 / 36.0
25.8 / 43.2
Assists
19.0 / 25.9
18.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.7 / 5.4
2.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
41.2 / 41.7
41.8 / 53.8
Free Throw %
82.6 / 70.1
70.4 / 71.0
Rebounding
46.6 / 42.4
49.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.2 / 7.4
4.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 15.9
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIL
PHI
MIL
ML
63%
69-40
64%
61-35
48%
45-48
60%
49-32
ATS
65%
71-38
68%
65-31
48%
45-48
60%
49-32
TTL
55%
60-49
55%
53-43
100%
93-0
100%
81-0
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