PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

1-1-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Oct 17 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

2-2-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Ivan Fedotov
GOALTENDER

Ivan Fedotov

#82 | G
@
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ivan Fedotov None-None 7.50 0.792 --
Philipp Grubauer None-None 4.02 0.840 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
7.50 GAA Ldr 4.02
0.792 Save % Ldr 0.840
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
KRAKEN
0%
FLYERS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Seattle)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

39.7%

Kraken Cover

60.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

PHI By 1 goal

14.9%

PHI By 2-3 goals

13.4%

SEA By 1 goal

19.2%

SEA By 2-3 goals

24.4%

AI Model Projected Score
2.38
PHILADELPHIA
2.9
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kraken Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.5
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 28, 2025 PHI @ SEA 1 - 4
Oct 20, 2025 SEA @ PHI 2 - 5
Mar 8, 2025 SEA @ PHI 4 - 1
Oct 17, 2024 PHI @ SEA 4 - 6
Feb 10, 2024 SEA @ PHI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +20.3% more
Philadelphia: 20.3 vs Seattle: 16.2
Hits (L5) +12.6% more
Philadelphia: 25.1 vs Seattle: 21.9
Power Play % (L5) +8.9%
Philadelphia: 19.0% vs Seattle: 10.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.4 4
SEA Score 2.9 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.2 / 20.3 19.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 45.7 / 46.5 45.6 / 54.4
Hits 21.9 / 25.1 21.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 10.1 / 19.0 20.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 30.7 / 31.9 29.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 5.8 / 6.2 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
96%MONEY4%