Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Commanders LAR @ WSH

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

5-4  |  Road

20
FINAL
Sun, Nov 8 • 1:00 PM ET
Northwest Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

COMMANDERSWSH

2-5-1  |  Home

13
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Tress Way
KEY GAME

Tress Way

#10 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Tress Way None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
66%
📊
COMMANDERS
34%
RAMS 69% Book Odds: -225
COMMANDERS 35% Book Odds: +185
Book Implied: 69.20% / 35.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.0
Projected
Book Total
48.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 48.5 47%
Under 48.5 53%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-4.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-4.5) 0 CommandersWSH (+4.5)
Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

69.1%

Commanders Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

16.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.3%

WSH By 1-6 points

12.9%

WSH By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
27.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 26.50
20.5
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 22
Simulated Score
28
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 26.50
20
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 22
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rams Win
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Rams Win
79% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Rams (-4.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
D
Sim o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2026 LAR @ WSH 20 - 13
Dec 17, 2023 WSH @ LAR 20 - 28
Oct 11, 2020 LAR @ WSH 30 - 10
Sep 17, 2017 WSH @ LAR 27 - 20
Sep 20, 2015 LAR @ WSH 10 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +55.9% more
Los Angeles: 1.3 vs Washington: 0.6
First Downs (L5) +21.2% more
Los Angeles: 22.4 vs Washington: 17.6
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.2% more
Los Angeles: 132.4 vs Washington: 121.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Los Angeles: 0.4 vs Washington: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 27.5 20
WSH Score 20.5 13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.6 / 22.4 16.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 208.3 / 219.0 253.0 / 219.0
Rushing Yards 121.5 / 132.4 60.0 / 124.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 329.8 / 351.4 313.0 / 343.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.3 2.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.5 / 5.6 5.4 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -218 / +180 → -225 / +185 ↓
93%TICKETS7%
99%MONEY1%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -4.5 / +4.5 → -4.5 / +4.5
69%TICKETS31%
65%MONEY35%
Total (O/U)
Open: 50.5 → 48.5 ↓
74%TICKETS26%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR Advantage
5-4-0 (55.6%)
Margin: 3.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
2-5-1 (28.6%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR Advantage
5-4-0 (55.6%)
Margin: 3.7 ATS +/-: -1.2
WSH
4-4-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -3.8 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
4-5-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -4.1
WSH
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAR
WSH
LAR
ML
62% 5-3
56% 5-4
43% 3-4
44% 4-5
ATS
38% 3-5
67% 6-3
75% 6-2
33% 3-6
TTL
62% 5-3
56% 5-4
62% 5-3
33% 3-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Commanders vs. Giants: Thursday Night Football Week 10 Preview, …
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Quarterback Carousel Stalls: College Football's Transfer Portal …
cbssports 3 hours, 17 minutes ago
Malik Nabers Vows to 'Fight Through' Short Week as Giants Prep f…
nypost 3 hours, 24 minutes ago
Jaguars vs. Titans: Five Bold Predictions for Week 10 Clash
si 3 hours, 25 minutes ago
Jordan Love's Record-Breaking Performance Earns NFC Offensive Pl…
yahoo 9 hours, 20 minutes ago