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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

6-4-2  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Oct 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Bridgestone Arena
View Odds Details →

NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

4-3-5  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Semyon Varlamov
GOALTENDER

Semyon Varlamov

#40 | Goaltender
@
Juuse Saros
GOALTENDER

Juuse Saros

#74 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Semyon Varlamov None-None 2.85 0.870 --
Juuse Saros None-None 2.77 0.893 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.85 GAA Ldr 2.77
0.870 Save % Ldr 0.893
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
42%
📊
PREDATORS
58%
▲ Edge: +4.70% (NSH)
ISLANDERS 49% Book Odds: +104
PREDATORS 54% Book Odds: -115
Book Implied: 49% / 53.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 49%
Under 6.0 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NASHVILLE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Nashville)
IslandersNYI (+1.5) 0 PredatorsNSH (-1.5)
Nashville Predators (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

21.2%

Predators Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NSH -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NSH)

NYI By 1 goal

8.6%

NYI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

NSH By 1 goal

18.9%

NSH By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
3.8
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
4
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Predators Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim Predators Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Predators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Predators (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 27, 2026 NYI @ NSH 4 - 3
Jan 31, 2026 NSH @ NYI 4 - 3
Jan 8, 2026 NYI @ NSH 1 - 2
Apr 8, 2025 NYI @ NSH 6 - 7
Mar 1, 2025 NSH @ NYI 4 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +35.9% more
Nashville: 4.5 vs New York: 3.3
Power Play % (L5) +16.3%
Nashville: 33.7% vs New York: 17.4%
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.2% more
Nashville: 14.1 vs New York: 12.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.2% more
Nashville: 29.2 vs New York: 27.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 2.2 4
NSH Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.1 / 12.7 17.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 54.7 / 57.0 41.1 / 58.9
Hits 22.2 / 25.4 20.0 / 23.0
Power Play % 33.7 / 17.4 20.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 29.2 / 27.0 23.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 3.3 5.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -102 / -118 → +104 / -115 ↓
25%TICKETS75%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
59%TICKETS41%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
88%TICKETS12%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NSH
NYI
NSH
NYI
ML
55% 11-9
63% 12-7
40% 8-12
58% 11-8
ATS
30% 6-14
42% 8-11
60% 12-8
53% 10-9
TTL
55% 11-9
22% 4-14-1
55% 11-9
61% 11-7-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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