Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Hurricanes BOS @ CAR

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

9-3-1  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Oct 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center
View Odds Details →

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

10-2-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.08 0.933 --
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 1.00 0.933 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.08 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.933 Save % 0.933
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
29%
📊
HURRICANES
71%
▲ Edge: +6.10% (CAR)
BRUINS 38% Book Odds: +163
HURRICANES 65% Book Odds: -182
Book Implied: 38% / 64.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 41%
Under 6.5 59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Carolina)
BruinsBOS (+1.5) 0 HurricanesCAR (-1.5)
Carolina Hurricanes (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

21.2%

Hurricanes Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

BOS By 1 goal

8.6%

BOS By 2-3 goals

5.5%

CAR By 1 goal

18.9%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2.50
3.8
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2.50
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
71% Win Prob
A
Sim Bruins Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 27, 2026 BOS @ CAR 1 - 2
Apr 7, 2026 BOS @ CAR 5 - 6
Nov 17, 2025 CAR @ BOS 3 - 1
Nov 1, 2025 CAR @ BOS 1 - 2
Apr 5, 2025 CAR @ BOS 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +57.3% more
Carolina: 6.2 vs Boston: 4.0
Power Play % (L5) +33.3%
Carolina: 53.7% vs Boston: 20.5%
Hits (L5) +25.6% more
Carolina: 21.0 vs Boston: 16.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +23.1% more
Carolina: 35.9 vs Boston: 29.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 2.2 1
CAR Score 3.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.4 / 14.4 16.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 50.6 / 56.1 47.4 / 52.6
Hits 21.0 / 16.7 23.0 / 12.0
Power Play % 53.7 / 20.5 0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 35.9 / 29.2 30.0 / 15.0
Takeaways 6.2 / 4.0 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +160 / -192 → +163 / -182 ↓
11%TICKETS89%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
80%TICKETS20%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
94%TICKETS6%
95%MONEY5%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
BOS
CAR
BOS
ML
81% 17-4
75% 15-5
57% 12-9
45% 9-11
ATS
52% 11-10
60% 12-8
57% 12-9
50% 10-10
TTL
45% 9-11-1
55% 11-9
55% 11-9-1
45% 9-11
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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