Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Cam Talbot
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | None-None | 2.89 | 0.903 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 3.92 | 0.733 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.89 Ldr
GAA
3.92
0.903 Ldr
Save %
0.733
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
45%
FLYERS
55%
▲ Edge: +5.60% (PHI)
BLUE JACKETS
53%
Book Odds: -114
FLYERS
49%
Book Odds: +104
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5
50%
Under 5.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
CBJ By 1 goal
9.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
6.1%
PHI By 1 goal
19.1%
PHI By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Columbus
2
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.50
Philadelphia
3.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Columbus
3
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.50
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Flyers
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
4 - 3
Oct 27, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
4 - 3
Mar 24, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
3 - 2
Mar 14, 2026
CBJ @ PHI
2 - 1
Jan 28, 2026
PHI @ CBJ
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+35.1% more
Philadelphia: 5.5
vs
Columbus: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.7% more
Philadelphia: 14.6
vs
Columbus: 12.3
Power Play % (L5)
+12.0%
Philadelphia: 25.7%
vs
Columbus: 13.7%
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
Columbus: 25.5
vs
Philadelphia: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score
2.0
4
PHI Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 12.3
12.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 52.4
44.0 / 56.0
Hits
22.2 / 25.5
15.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
2565.0 / 1370.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.8 / 25.2
31.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.0
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -115 / -105
→
-114 / +104
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CBJ
PHI
CBJ
ML
55%
12-10
39%
7-11
50%
11-11
67%
12-6
ATS
36%
8-14
33%
6-12
45%
10-12
72%
13-5
TTL
67%
14-7-1
50%
9-9
48%
10-11-1
44%
8-10