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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

9-2-2  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Enterprise Center
View Odds Details →

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

5-5-1  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
@
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Joel Hofer None-None 4.00 0.897 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 4.00
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.897
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
69%
📊
BLUES
31%
▲ Edge: +9.40% (CAR)
HURRICANES 60% Book Odds: -149
BLUES 43% Book Odds: +134
Book Implied: 59.80% / 42.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0 59%
Under 6.0 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 BluesSTL (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

22.7%

Blues Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)

CAR By 1 goal

19.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.1%

STL By 1 goal

9.2%

STL By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
2.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
3
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
69% Win Prob
A
Sim Blues Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blues (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Blues (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 CAR @ STL 4 - 0
Mar 12, 2026 STL @ CAR 3 - 1
Jan 13, 2026 CAR @ STL 0 - 3
Nov 17, 2024 STL @ CAR 1 - 4
Oct 19, 2024 CAR @ STL 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +41.8% more
Carolina: 5.3 vs St. Louis: 3.1
Hits (L5) +22.7% more
Carolina: 21.0 vs St. Louis: 16.2
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.3% more
Carolina: 34.3 vs St. Louis: 28.0
Power Play % (L5) +18.3%
St. Louis: 48.9% vs Carolina: 30.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 4.0 4
STL Score 2.5 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.6 / 12.2 9.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 51.2 / 49.6 47.5 / 52.5
Hits 16.2 / 21.0 17.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 48.9 / 30.6 0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 28.0 / 34.3 24.0 / 39.0
Takeaways 3.1 / 5.3 2.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -155 / +130 → -149 / +134 ↓
92%TICKETS8%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
42%TICKETS58%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
87%TICKETS13%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
CAR
STL
CAR
ML
56% 10-8
79% 15-4
67% 12-6
53% 10-9
ATS
39% 7-11
53% 10-9
44% 8-10
58% 11-8
TTL
29% 5-12-1
39% 7-11-1
65% 11-6-1
50% 9-9-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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