VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
8-4-1 | Road
1
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
4-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Cam Talbot
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 1.97 | 0.900 | -- |
| Cam Talbot | None-None | 0.98 | 0.963 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.97
GAA
Ldr 0.98
0.900
Save %
Ldr 0.963
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
59%
BLUE JACKETS
41%
▲ Edge: +3.80% (VGK)
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
55%
Book Odds: -122
BLUE JACKETS
47%
Book Odds: +111
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.0
58%
Under 6.0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CBJ +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.1%
CBJ By 1 goal
9.2%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Columbus
2.5
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.80
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
C
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 24, 2026
VGK @ CBJ
1 - 2
Jan 8, 2026
CBJ @ VGK
3 - 5
Dec 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
3 - 2
Mar 13, 2025
VGK @ CBJ
4 - 0
Jan 30, 2025
CBJ @ VGK
2 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+18.1%
Vegas: 22.0%
vs
Columbus: 3.9%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+12.0% more
Vegas: 13.0
vs
Columbus: 11.5
Takeaways (L5)
+17.3% more
Columbus: 4.6
vs
Vegas: 3.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+1.5%
Columbus: 51.2%
vs
Vegas: 49.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
4.0
1
CBJ Score
2.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
11.5 / 13.0
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
51.2 / 49.6
54.7 / 45.3
Hits
25.3 / 26.6
26.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
3.9 / 22.0
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.8 / 28.9
20.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 3.9
3.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / +114
→
-122 / +111
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
VGK
CBJ
VGK
ML
38%
6-10
70%
14-6
69%
11-5
55%
11-9
ATS
31%
5-11
50%
10-10
69%
11-5
65%
13-7
TTL
44%
7-9
40%
8-12
50%
8-8
55%
11-9
Contextual Game News
Mark Stone Nears Vegas Scoring Record as Golden Knights Down Uta…
Adam Fantilli Unfazed by Slow Start: 'I'm Not Nervous at All'
Golden Knights Dominate Sabres to Wrap Up Road Trip in Style
Sabres Face Golden Knights, Eichel in Pivotal Stretch
Stars' Myers Laments 'Point Left Out There' After Shootout Loss …