NASHVILLE
PREDATORSNSH
3-3-4 | Road
2
PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
5-6-1 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Juuse Saros
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | None-None | 2.82 | 0.919 | -- |
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 1.95 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.82
GAA
Ldr 1.95
0.919
Save %
Ldr 0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
41%
PENGUINS
59%
▲ Edge: +3.90% (PIT)
PREDATORS
47%
Book Odds: +111
PENGUINS
55%
Book Odds: -123
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
43%
Under 6.5
57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Pittsburgh)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PIT -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PIT)
NSH By 1 goal
8.6%
NSH By 2-3 goals
5.5%
PIT By 1 goal
18.9%
PIT By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Nashville
2.2
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Pittsburgh
3.8
PITTSBURGH
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Nashville
4
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Penguins
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Predators
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Penguins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Predators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 24, 2026
NSH @ PIT
2 - 3
Nov 16, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 4
Nov 14, 2025
PIT @ NSH
1 - 2
Feb 1, 2025
NSH @ PIT
0 - 3
Dec 19, 2024
PIT @ NSH
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+5.3%
Pittsburgh: 38.3%
vs
Nashville: 33.0%
Hits (L5)
+48.7% more
Nashville: 23.4
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.0
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.8% more
Nashville: 26.5
vs
Pittsburgh: 23.1
Takeaways (L5)
+12.1% more
Nashville: 4.7
vs
Pittsburgh: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NSH Score
2.2
2
PIT Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 14.8
8.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
47.4 / 49.3
45.0 / 55.0
Hits
12.0 / 23.4
11.0 / 26.0
Power Play %
3834.0 / 3301.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.1 / 26.5
37.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +105 / -125
→
+111 / -123
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PIT
NSH
PIT
NSH
ML
79%
15-4
58%
11-8
53%
10-9
42%
8-11
ATS
53%
10-9
32%
6-13
63%
12-7
63%
12-7
TTL
32%
6-13
58%
11-8
47%
9-10
53%
10-9
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