MONTREAL
CANADIENSMTL
5-3-2 | Road
4
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
3-7-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jacob Fowler
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fowler | None-None | 1.00 | 0.952 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 3.04 | 0.889 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
3.04
0.952 Ldr
Save %
0.889
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
CANADIENS
74%
BLACKHAWKS
26%
▲ Edge: +11.10% (MTL)
CANADIENS
63%
Book Odds: -170
BLACKHAWKS
41%
Book Odds: +142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
49%
Under 6.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
MTL By 1 goal
19.1%
MTL By 2-3 goals
34.1%
CHI By 1 goal
9.2%
CHI By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Montreal
4
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 4
Chicago
2.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Montreal
2
MONTREAL
Book Implied: 4
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Canadiens
Win
74% Win Prob
A
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 23, 2026
MTL @ CHI
4 - 1
Dec 18, 2025
CHI @ MTL
1 - 4
Oct 11, 2025
MTL @ CHI
3 - 2
Apr 14, 2025
CHI @ MTL
4 - 3
Jan 3, 2025
MTL @ CHI
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+31.6% more
Montreal: 32.6
vs
Chicago: 22.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.0%
Montreal: 52.1%
vs
Chicago: 42.1%
Takeaways (L5)
+29.8% more
Chicago: 5.1
vs
Montreal: 4.0
Blocked Shots (L5)
+11.6% more
Chicago: 12.4
vs
Montreal: 11.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MTL Score
4.0
4
CHI Score
2.5
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 11.1
8.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
42.1 / 52.1
37.3 / 62.7
Hits
18.7 / 18.0
11.0 / 23.0
Power Play %
1516.0 / 1563.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.3 / 32.6
21.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 4.0
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -166 / +140
→
-170 / +142
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
MTL
CHI
MTL
ML
78%
14-4
67%
12-6
61%
11-7
44%
8-10
ATS
67%
12-6
44%
8-10
56%
10-8
78%
14-4
TTL
29%
5-12-1
39%
7-11
59%
10-7-1
50%
9-9
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