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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

7-4-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Oct 22 • 10:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

7-3-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 4.12 0.818 --
Philipp Grubauer None-None 3.02 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.12 GAA Ldr 3.02
0.818 Save % Ldr 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
63%
📊
KRAKEN
37%
MAMMOTH 64% Book Odds: -179
KRAKEN 39% Book Odds: +160
Book Implied: 64.20% / 38.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 50%
Under 6.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
MammothUTA (-1.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

22.7%

Kraken Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

UTA By 1 goal

19.1%

UTA By 2-3 goals

34.1%

SEA By 1 goal

9.2%

SEA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
2.5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mammoth Loss
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Mammoth Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 22, 2026 UTA @ SEA 3 - 5
Apr 2, 2026 UTA @ SEA 6 - 2
Jan 17, 2026 SEA @ UTA 3 - 6
Dec 12, 2025 SEA @ UTA 3 - 5
Apr 8, 2025 SEA @ UTA 1 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +43.4% more
Utah: 27.5 vs Seattle: 15.6
Power Play % (L5) +13.1%
Utah: 34.3% vs Seattle: 21.2%
Takeaways (L5) +85.5% more
Seattle: 5.4 vs Utah: 2.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +31.4% more
Seattle: 16.4 vs Utah: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 4.0 3
SEA Score 2.5 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.4 / 12.5 18.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 55.3 / 54.8 43.7 / 56.3
Hits 15.6 / 27.5 14.0 / 30.0
Power Play % 21.2 / 34.3 50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 26.4 / 28.5 23.0 / 36.0
Takeaways 5.4 / 2.9 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -155 / +130 → -179 / +160 ↓
84%TICKETS16%
94%MONEY6%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
35%TICKETS65%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
97%TICKETS3%
98%MONEY2%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
UTA
SEA
UTA
ML
62% 10-6
67% 12-6
44% 7-9
61% 11-7
ATS
50% 8-8
50% 9-9
62% 10-6
50% 9-9
TTL
33% 5-10-1
33% 6-12
40% 6-9-1
61% 11-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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