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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

8-2-2  |  Road

5
FINAL
Thu, Oct 22 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

8-1-1  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Devon Levi
GOALTENDER

Devon Levi

#27 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 4.62 0.762 --
Devon Levi None-None 4.67 0.815 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.62 Ldr GAA 4.67
0.762 Save % Ldr 0.815
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
70%
📊
OILERS
30%
▲ Edge: +12.30% (CAR)
HURRICANES 57% Book Odds: -135
OILERS 47% Book Odds: +114
Book Implied: 57.40% / 46.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 49%
Under 6.5 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
EDMONTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 OilersEDM (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

22.7%

Oilers Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

CAR By 1 goal

19.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.1%

EDM By 1 goal

9.2%

EDM By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2.5
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Oilers Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Oilers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 22, 2026 CAR @ EDM 5 - 6
Mar 6, 2026 CAR @ EDM 6 - 3
Nov 15, 2025 EDM @ CAR 4 - 3
Mar 1, 2025 EDM @ CAR 3 - 1
Oct 22, 2024 CAR @ EDM 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +33.2% more
Carolina: 38.0 vs Edmonton: 25.4
Takeaways (L5) +29.7% more
Carolina: 4.0 vs Edmonton: 2.8
Blocked Shots (L5) +40.7% more
Edmonton: 15.1 vs Carolina: 10.8
Hits (L5) +39.4% more
Edmonton: 23.0 vs Carolina: 16.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 4.0 5
EDM Score 2.5 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.1 / 10.8 12.0 / 15.0
Faceoff % 47.2 / 48.1 47.5 / 52.5
Hits 23.0 / 16.5 17.0 / 30.0
Power Play % 48.4 / 20.9 60.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 25.4 / 38.0 21.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 2.8 / 4.0 4.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -110 / -110 → -135 / +114 ↓
61%TICKETS39%
63%MONEY37%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
27%TICKETS73%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
90%TICKETS10%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
CAR
EDM
CAR
ML
63% 12-7
79% 15-4
58% 11-8
53% 10-9
ATS
58% 11-8
53% 10-9
47% 9-10
58% 11-8
TTL
26% 5-14
39% 7-11-1
37% 7-12
50% 9-9-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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