VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
8-4-0 | Road
2
ST. LOUIS
BLUESSTL
5-4-1 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Adin Hill
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joel Hofer
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adin Hill | None-None | 6.00 | 0.806 | -- |
| Joel Hofer | None-None | 2.00 | 0.931 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.806
Save %
Ldr 0.931
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
55%
BLUES
45%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
56%
Book Odds: -125
BLUES
49%
Book Odds: +105
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5
59%
Under 5.5
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around STL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
VGK By 1 goal
19.1%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.1%
STL By 1 goal
9.2%
STL By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.50
St. Louis
2.5
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 3.50
St. Louis
3
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blues
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blues (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blues (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 22, 2026
VGK @ STL
2 - 6
Jan 10, 2026
STL @ VGK
2 - 4
Jan 2, 2026
VGK @ STL
3 - 4
Nov 15, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 1
Jan 23, 2025
VGK @ STL
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.4% more
Vegas: 14.0
vs
St. Louis: 10.9
Hits (L5)
+18.9% more
Vegas: 22.0
vs
St. Louis: 17.8
Takeaways (L5)
+15.3% more
Vegas: 4.3
vs
St. Louis: 3.7
Power Play % (L5)
+9.7%
Vegas: 33.0%
vs
St. Louis: 23.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
4.0
2
STL Score
2.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
10.9 / 14.0
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
51.4 / 49.8
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
17.8 / 22.0
13.0 / 36.0
Power Play %
23.3 / 33.0
100.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.6 / 28.9
31.0 / 29.0
Takeaways
3.7 / 4.3
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / +114
→
-125 / +105
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
5.5
↓
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STL
VGK
STL
VGK
ML
56%
10-8
68%
13-6
67%
12-6
53%
10-9
ATS
39%
7-11
47%
9-10
44%
8-10
63%
12-7
TTL
29%
5-12-1
42%
8-11
65%
11-6-1
53%
10-9
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