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PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

2-6  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sun, Nov 1 • 8:20 PM ET
Northwest Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

COMMANDERSWSH

2-4-1  |  Home

27
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Tress Way
KEY GAME

Tress Way

#10 | Punter
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Tress Way None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
54%
📊
COMMANDERS
46%
▲ Edge: +21.30% (PHI)
EAGLES 32% Book Odds: +210
COMMANDERS 71% Book Odds: -239
Book Implied: 32.30% / 70.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.5
Projected
Book Total
40.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 (Over)
Over 40.5 65%
Under 40.5 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+5.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Philadelphia)
EaglesPHI (+5.5) 0 CommandersWSH (-5.5)
Philadelphia Eagles (+5.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

54.3%

Commanders Cover

45.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around PHI -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.8%

PHI By 7-13 points

16.5%

WSH By 1-6 points

15.9%

WSH By 7-13 points

14.2%

AI Model Projected Score
23.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 17.50
22
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 23
Simulated Score
25
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 17.50
22
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 23
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Eagles (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.5
A
Sim Eagles (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.5
B
Sim o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 10 - 27
Sep 13, 2026 WSH @ PHI 22 - 24
Jan 4, 2026 WSH @ PHI 24 - 17
Dec 20, 2025 PHI @ WSH 29 - 18
Jan 26, 2025 WSH @ PHI 23 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +35.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.7 vs Washington: 0.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.4 vs Washington: 0.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +33.5% more
Washington: 112.4 vs Philadelphia: 84.2
Total Yards (L5) +20.6% more
Washington: 321.6 vs Philadelphia: 266.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 23.5 10
WSH Score 22.0 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 17.9 16.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 209.2 / 182.4 204.0 / 177.0
Rushing Yards 112.4 / 84.2 135.0 / 91.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.33
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 321.6 / 266.6 339.0 / 268.0
Turnovers 0.3 / 0.7 1.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 5.2 / 4.4 5.9 / 3.9
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +105 → +210 / -239 ↑
19%TICKETS81%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → +5.5 / -5.5 ↑
49%TICKETS51%
50%MONEY50%
Total (O/U)
Open: 46.5 → 40.5 ↓
66%TICKETS34%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-6-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -8.1 ATS +/-: -7.2
WSH Advantage
2-4-1 (33.3%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
1-7-0 (12.5%)
Margin: -8.1 ATS +/-: -7.2
WSH Advantage
4-3-0 (57.1%)
Margin: -3.3 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.6
WSH
4-3-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHI
WSH
PHI
ML
57% 4-3
50% 4-4
33% 2-4-1
50% 4-4
ATS
29% 2-5
25% 2-6
71% 5-2
62% 5-3
TTL
57% 4-3
43% 3-4-1
71% 5-2
57% 4-3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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