FLORIDA
PANTHERSFLA
5-3-2 | Road
1
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
7-3-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Akira Schmid
#40 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Linus Ullmark
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | None-None | 5.00 | 0.833 | -- |
| Linus Ullmark | None-None | 1.38 | 0.944 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 1.38
0.833
Save %
Ldr 0.944
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
35%
SENATORS
65%
▲ Edge: +12.50% (OTT)
PANTHERS
50%
Book Odds: +100
SENATORS
53%
Book Odds: -111
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
59%
Under 5.5
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
OTTAWA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
FLA By 1 goal
8.6%
FLA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
OTT By 1 goal
18.9%
OTT By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Florida
2.2
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
3.8
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Florida
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 2
Ottawa
2
OTTAWA
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Senators
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Panthers
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Senators (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Panthers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 21, 2026
FLA @ OTT
1 - 5
Apr 9, 2026
FLA @ OTT
1 - 5
Mar 31, 2026
OTT @ FLA
3 - 6
Jan 10, 2026
FLA @ OTT
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
OTT @ FLA
2 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+71.9% more
Ottawa: 17.1
vs
Florida: 9.9
Takeaways (L5)
+19.4% more
Ottawa: 4.9
vs
Florida: 4.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+7.3%
Ottawa: 50.3%
vs
Florida: 43.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+32.4% more
Florida: 32.8
vs
Ottawa: 22.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FLA Score
2.2
1
OTT Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.1 / 9.9
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.3 / 43.0
62.3 / 37.7
Hits
21.9 / 27.5
25.0 / 42.0
Power Play %
8.2 / 37.4
14.3 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
22.2 / 32.8
30.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115
→
+100 / -111
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
FLA
OTT
FLA
ML
44%
8-10
67%
12-6
44%
8-10
50%
9-9
ATS
33%
6-12
56%
10-8
67%
12-6
50%
9-9
TTL
56%
10-8
50%
9-9
61%
11-7
50%
9-9
Contextual Game News
