DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
3-3-3 | Road
3
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
6-3-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Daniil Tarasov
#80 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | None-None | 2.86 | 0.889 | -- |
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 2.78 | 0.880 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.86
GAA
Ldr 2.78
0.889 Ldr
Save %
0.880
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
47%
KRAKEN
53%
▲ Edge: +5.70% (SEA)
RED WINGS
55%
Book Odds: -121
KRAKEN
48%
Book Odds: +109
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
41%
Under 6.5
59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
DET By 1 goal
8.6%
DET By 2-3 goals
5.5%
SEA By 1 goal
18.9%
SEA By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.2
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
3.8
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kraken
Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 20, 2026
DET @ SEA
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2026
SEA @ DET
6 - 3
Dec 6, 2025
DET @ SEA
4 - 3
Nov 18, 2025
SEA @ DET
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DET @ SEA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+9.7%
Seattle: 56.4%
vs
Detroit: 46.7%
Power Play % (L5)
+2.3%
Seattle: 15.2%
vs
Detroit: 12.9%
Hits (L5)
+30.1% more
Detroit: 24.2
vs
Seattle: 16.9
Blocked Shots (L5)
+19.8% more
Detroit: 19.4
vs
Seattle: 15.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.2
3
SEA Score
3.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.6 / 19.4
18.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
56.4 / 46.7
53.1 / 46.9
Hits
16.9 / 24.2
13.0 / 24.0
Power Play %
15.2 / 12.9
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 28.3
27.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.1 / 5.1
6.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -112 / -108
→
-121 / +109
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DET
SEA
DET
ML
62%
10-6
67%
12-6
44%
7-9
50%
9-9
ATS
50%
8-8
39%
7-11
62%
10-6
67%
12-6
TTL
33%
5-10-1
29%
5-12-1
40%
6-9-1
47%
8-9-1
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