MINNESOTA
WILDMIN
6-2-2 | Road
3
EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
7-1-1 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jesper Wallstedt
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Devon Levi
#27 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | None-None | 3.78 | 0.875 | -- |
| Devon Levi | None-None | 2.84 | 0.900 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.78
GAA
Ldr 2.84
0.875
Save %
Ldr 0.900
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
WILD
56%
OILERS
44%
▲ Edge: +8.80% (MIN)
WILD
48%
Book Odds: +110
OILERS
57%
Book Odds: -130
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
50%
Under 6.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around MIN -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1 goal
19.1%
MIN By 2-3 goals
34.1%
EDM By 1 goal
9.2%
EDM By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Edmonton
2.5
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Minnesota
2
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wild
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim
Wild (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 20, 2026
MIN @ EDM
3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026
MIN @ EDM
7 - 3
Dec 20, 2025
EDM @ MIN
2 - 5
Dec 2, 2025
MIN @ EDM
1 - 0
Jan 15, 2025
EDM @ MIN
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+31.8% more
Minnesota: 4.8
vs
Edmonton: 3.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.8% more
Minnesota: 31.5
vs
Edmonton: 22.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.5%
Minnesota: 50.9%
vs
Edmonton: 48.4%
Hits (L5)
+15.8% more
Edmonton: 25.5
vs
Minnesota: 22.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
4.0
3
EDM Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.2 / 14.5
13.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
48.4 / 50.9
44.8 / 55.2
Hits
25.5 / 22.0
18.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
42.6 / 30.1
60.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
22.1 / 31.5
32.0 / 30.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.8
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +102 / -122
→
+110 / -130
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
MIN
EDM
MIN
ML
61%
11-7
63%
12-7
56%
10-8
53%
10-9
ATS
56%
10-8
53%
10-9
44%
8-10
53%
10-9
TTL
22%
4-14
71%
12-5-2
33%
6-12
65%
11-6-2
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