TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
5-4-2 | Road
6
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
3-5-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Cam Talbot
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | None-None | 2.00 | 0.946 | -- |
| Cam Talbot | None-None | 2.15 | 0.667 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
2.15
0.946 Ldr
Save %
0.667
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
30%
BLUE JACKETS
70%
▲ Edge: +8.30% (CBJ)
MAPLE LEAFS
41%
Book Odds: +144
BLUE JACKETS
62%
Book Odds: -160
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5
50%
Under 6.5
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
TORONTO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
9.2%
TOR By 2-3 goals
6.1%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
2.5
TORONTO
Book Implied: 2.50
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Toronto
2
TORONTO
Book Implied: 2.50
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Blue Jackets
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
Blue Jackets
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blue Jackets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 20, 2026
TOR @ CBJ
6 - 2
Nov 26, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
2 - 1
Nov 20, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
3 - 2
Oct 29, 2025
TOR @ CBJ
3 - 6
Apr 5, 2025
CBJ @ TOR
0 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+25.0% more
Columbus: 22.4
vs
Toronto: 17.9
Takeaways (L5)
+16.9% more
Columbus: 4.8
vs
Toronto: 4.1
Power Play % (L5)
+21.4%
Toronto: 27.3%
vs
Columbus: 5.9%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.3% more
Toronto: 29.4
vs
Columbus: 23.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
2.5
6
CBJ Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.7 / 15.4
5.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
53.1 / 52.0
47.4 / 52.6
Hits
22.4 / 17.9
31.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
5.9 / 27.3
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
23.2 / 29.4
37.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148
→
+144 / -160
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
TOR
CBJ
TOR
ML
40%
6-9
61%
11-7
67%
10-5
44%
8-10
ATS
33%
5-10
50%
9-9
67%
10-5
61%
11-7
TTL
47%
7-8
50%
9-9
47%
7-8
44%
8-10
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