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COLORADO

AVALANCHECOL

5-4-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Oct 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

5-4-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Scott Wedgewood
GOALTENDER

Scott Wedgewood

#41 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Scott Wedgewood None-None 3.19 0.925 --
Jake Allen None-None 3.00 0.912 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.19 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.925 Ldr Save % 0.912
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
68%
📊
DEVILS
32%
▲ Edge: +19.20% (COL)
AVALANCHE 49% Book Odds: +104
DEVILS 54% Book Odds: -115
Book Implied: 49% / 53.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.5 59%
Under 6.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLORADO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Colorado)
AvalancheCOL (+1.5) 0 DevilsNJ (-1.5)
Colorado Avalanche (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Avalanche Cover

75.8%

Devils Cover

24.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around COL -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)

COL By 1 goal

19.4%

COL By 2-3 goals

33.3%

NJ By 1 goal

9.8%

NJ By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2.50
2.8
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 2.50
3
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Avalanche Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Sim Avalanche Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Avalanche (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.4
A
Sim Avalanche (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim o6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 28, 2026 NJ @ COL 2 - 5
Oct 20, 2026 COL @ NJ 3 - 4
Oct 28, 2025 NJ @ COL 4 - 8
Oct 26, 2025 COL @ NJ 3 - 4
Feb 26, 2025 NJ @ COL 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +27.9% more
Colorado: 14.8 vs New Jersey: 10.7
Takeaways (L5) +12.5% more
Colorado: 4.0 vs New Jersey: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +17.0%
New Jersey: 29.0% vs Colorado: 12.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.2% more
New Jersey: 33.2 vs Colorado: 28.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 4.2 3
NJ Score 2.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.7 / 14.8 24.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 50.9 / 48.0 64.9 / 35.1
Hits 14.9 / 16.1 18.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 2896.0 / 1197.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 33.2 / 28.6 41.0 / 34.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 4.0 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -115 / -105 → +104 / -115 ↑
67%TICKETS33%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5 ↑
66%TICKETS34%
90%MONEY10%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
83%TICKETS17%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
COL
NJ
COL
ML
59% 10-7
56% 10-8
65% 11-6
50% 9-9
ATS
41% 7-10
56% 10-8
47% 8-9
50% 9-9
TTL
33% 5-10-2
33% 6-12
40% 6-9-2
78% 14-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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