PITTSBURGH
PENGUINSPIT
3-6-1 | Road
4
UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
7-3-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Arturs Silovs
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sebastian Cossa
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | None-None | 5.11 | 0.828 | -- |
| Sebastian Cossa | None-None | 4.00 | 0.789 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.11
GAA
Ldr 4.00
0.828 Ldr
Save %
0.789
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
PENGUINS
35%
MAMMOTH
65%
▲ Edge: +1% (UTA)
PENGUINS
39%
Book Odds: +156
MAMMOTH
64%
Book Odds: -174
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 7.0
34%
Under 7.0
66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
UTAH
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
PIT By 1 goal
8.6%
PIT By 2-3 goals
5.5%
UTA By 1 goal
18.9%
UTA By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Pittsburgh
2.2
PITTSBURGH
Book Implied: 2.80
Utah
3.8
UTAH
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Pittsburgh
3
PITTSBURGH
Book Implied: 2.80
Utah
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Mammoth
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mammoth
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mammoth (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Penguins (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Sim
u7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 29, 2026
UTA @ PIT
4 - 3
Oct 19, 2026
PIT @ UTA
4 - 5
Mar 14, 2026
PIT @ UTA
4 - 3
Dec 14, 2025
UTA @ PIT
5 - 4
Jan 29, 2025
PIT @ UTA
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+136.0% more
Utah: 28.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+8.7%
Utah: 53.3%
vs
Pittsburgh: 44.6%
Takeaways (L5)
+44.1% more
Pittsburgh: 5.1
vs
Utah: 2.8
Power Play % (L5)
+9.8%
Pittsburgh: 36.3%
vs
Utah: 26.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PIT Score
2.2
4
UTA Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.2 / 12.1
13.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 44.6
57.9 / 42.1
Hits
28.3 / 12.0
26.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
26.5 / 36.3
50.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
28.3 / 26.6
29.0 / 19.0
Takeaways
2.8 / 5.1
3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +154 / -185
→
+156 / -174
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
7
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
PIT
UTA
PIT
ML
65%
11-6
81%
13-3
59%
10-7
50%
8-8
ATS
47%
8-9
56%
9-7
47%
8-9
75%
12-4
TTL
29%
5-12
31%
5-11
59%
10-7
50%
8-8
Contextual Game News
