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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

7-2-1  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Oct 18 • 8:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

2-6-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Brandon Bussi
GOALTENDER

Brandon Bussi

#32 | Goaltender
@
Devin Cooley
GOALTENDER

Devin Cooley

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Brandon Bussi None-None 3.09 0.912 --
Devin Cooley None-None 2.01 0.944 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.09 GAA Ldr 2.01
0.912 Save % Ldr 0.944
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
77%
📊
FLAMES
23%
▲ Edge: +7.50% (CAR)
HURRICANES 69% Book Odds: -225
FLAMES 35% Book Odds: +185
Book Implied: 69.20% / 35.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 41%
Under 6.5 59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CALGARY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 FlamesCGY (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

22.7%

Flames Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CAR By 1 goal

19.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.1%

CGY By 1 goal

9.2%

CGY By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
2.5
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 4
4
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Loss
77% Win Prob
A
Sim Flames Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flames (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Flames (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 18, 2026 CAR @ CGY 2 - 3
Mar 7, 2026 CAR @ CGY 4 - 5
Nov 30, 2025 CGY @ CAR 0 - 1
Mar 2, 2025 CGY @ CAR 1 - 2
Oct 24, 2024 CAR @ CGY 4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +24.9%
Carolina: 47.0% vs Calgary: 22.2%
Takeaways (L5) +13.7% more
Carolina: 5.0 vs Calgary: 4.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +11.5% more
Carolina: 34.5 vs Calgary: 30.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +39.8% more
Calgary: 14.6 vs Carolina: 10.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 4.0 2
CGY Score 2.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.6 / 10.4 16.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 50.9 / 51.1 56.9 / 43.1
Hits 22.3 / 20.6 15.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 22.2 / 47.0 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 30.6 / 34.5 34.0 / 36.0
Takeaways 4.3 / 5.0 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -192 / +160 → -225 / +185 ↓
93%TICKETS7%
97%MONEY3%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
79%TICKETS21%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
94%TICKETS6%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
CAR
CGY
CAR
ML
44% 7-9
78% 14-4
50% 8-8
50% 9-9
ATS
25% 4-12
50% 9-9
56% 9-7
61% 11-7
TTL
53% 8-7-1
41% 7-10-1
40% 6-9-1
53% 9-8-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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