Home / NHL Projections NHL / Bruins @ Kings BOS @ LA

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

7-2-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 9:00 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-4-2  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 1.00 0.962 --
Anton Forsberg None-None 2.08 0.923 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.08
0.962 Ldr Save % 0.923
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
63%
📊
KINGS
37%
▲ Edge: +18.80% (BOS)
BRUINS 45% Book Odds: +124
KINGS 60% Book Odds: -148
Book Implied: 44.60% / 59.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 59%
Under 5.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Boston)
BruinsBOS (+1.5) 0 KingsLA (-1.5)
Boston Bruins (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

78.8%

Kings Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1 goal

18.9%

BOS By 2-3 goals

34.9%

LA By 1 goal

8.6%

LA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
2.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins Win
63% Win Prob
B
Sim Kings Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 BOS @ LA 4 - 1
Mar 10, 2026 LA @ BOS 1 - 2
Nov 21, 2025 BOS @ LA 2 - 1
Mar 23, 2025 BOS @ LA 2 - 7
Oct 12, 2024 LA @ BOS 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.6% more
Boston: 16.4 vs Los Angeles: 13.2
Power Play % (L5) +18.4%
Boston: 32.4% vs Los Angeles: 14.0%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.9%
Boston: 57.4% vs Los Angeles: 54.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.2% more
Los Angeles: 31.9 vs Boston: 24.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.8 4
LA Score 2.2 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 16.4 22.0 / 19.0
Faceoff % 54.5 / 57.4 42.4 / 53.0
Hits 22.5 / 21.1 25.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 1400.0 / 3241.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 31.9 / 24.7 26.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 3.5 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142 → +124 / -148 ↑
56%TICKETS44%
54%MONEY46%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
94%TICKETS6%
91%MONEY9%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
85%TICKETS15%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
BOS
LA
BOS
ML
46% 6-7
75% 12-4
46% 6-7
44% 7-9
ATS
54% 7-6
56% 9-7
77% 10-3
50% 8-8
TTL
23% 3-10
56% 9-7
31% 4-9
44% 7-9
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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