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DALLAS

STARSDAL

4-3-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 7:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

3-6-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
@
Spencer Knight
GOALTENDER

Spencer Knight

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jake Oettinger None-None 0.00 1.000 1
Spencer Knight None-None 4.02 0.875 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 4.02
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.875
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
STARS
69%
📊
BLACKHAWKS
31%
▲ Edge: +1.50% (DAL)
STARS 68% Book Odds: -209
BLACKHAWKS 35% Book Odds: +186
Book Implied: 67.60% / 35%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.0 35%
Under 6.0 65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
StarsDAL (-1.5) 0 BlackhawksCHI (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Stars Cover

22.7%

Blackhawks Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

DAL By 1 goal

19.1%

DAL By 2-3 goals

34.1%

CHI By 1 goal

9.2%

CHI By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
DALLAS
Book Implied: 3.80
2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
2
DALLAS
Book Implied: 3.80
4
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Stars Win
69% Win Prob
A
Sim Blackhawks Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blackhawks (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Blackhawks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 DAL @ CHI 4 - 0
Mar 8, 2026 CHI @ DAL 3 - 4
Jan 1, 2026 DAL @ CHI 3 - 4
Dec 27, 2025 CHI @ DAL 4 - 3
Dec 29, 2024 DAL @ CHI 5 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +32.7% more
Dallas: 24.6 vs Chicago: 16.5
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.7% more
Dallas: 16.1 vs Chicago: 13.1
Faceoff % (L5) +9.6%
Dallas: 56.4% vs Chicago: 46.8%
Power Play % (L5) +4.4%
Dallas: 27.2% vs Chicago: 22.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DAL Score 3.5 4
CHI Score 2.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 16.1 11.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 46.8 / 56.4 32.7 / 67.3
Hits 16.5 / 24.6 23.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 22.7 / 27.2 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 23.9 / 23.8 19.0 / 32.0
Takeaways 5.2 / 4.5 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -192 / +160 → -209 / +186 ↓
88%TICKETS12%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
52%TICKETS48%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
97%TICKETS3%
97%MONEY3%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
DAL
CHI
DAL
ML
73% 11-4
60% 9-6
53% 8-7
47% 7-8
ATS
60% 9-6
40% 6-9
60% 9-6
60% 9-6
TTL
29% 4-10-1
60% 9-6
64% 9-5-1
60% 9-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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