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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

7-1-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 3:30 PM ET
Canada Life Centre
View Odds Details →

WINNIPEG

JETSWPG

4-2-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
@
Clay Stevenson
GOALTENDER

Clay Stevenson

#33 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 2.00 0.913 --
Clay Stevenson None-None 3.05 0.919 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.00 Ldr GAA 3.05
0.913 Save % Ldr 0.919
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
68%
📊
JETS
32%
▲ Edge: +1.70% (CAR)
HURRICANES 66% Book Odds: -193
JETS 37% Book Odds: +172
Book Implied: 65.90% / 36.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 50%
Under 6.0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 JetsWPG (+1.5)
Carolina Hurricanes (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

78.8%

Jets Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

18.9%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

WPG By 1 goal

8.6%

WPG By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
2.2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.80
3
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes Win
68% Win Prob
B
Sim Jets Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Jets (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2026 WPG @ CAR 0 - 7
Oct 17, 2026 CAR @ WPG 3 - 2
Nov 28, 2025 WPG @ CAR 1 - 5
Nov 21, 2025 CAR @ WPG 4 - 3
Mar 9, 2025 WPG @ CAR 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +17.6% more
Carolina: 33.3 vs Winnipeg: 27.5
Takeaways (L5) +8.8% more
Carolina: 4.6 vs Winnipeg: 4.2
Faceoff % (L5) +2.1%
Carolina: 49.0% vs Winnipeg: 46.9%
Hits (L5) +18.1% more
Winnipeg: 24.1 vs Carolina: 20.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.8 3
WPG Score 2.2 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.3 / 10.7 21.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 46.9 / 49.0 44.8 / 55.2
Hits 24.1 / 20.4 33.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 28.4 / 20.5 0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 27.5 / 33.3 23.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 4.6 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -148 / +124 → -193 / +172 ↓
92%TICKETS8%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
57%TICKETS43%
45%MONEY55%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6 ↓
90%TICKETS10%
91%MONEY9%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
CAR
WPG
CAR
ML
62% 10-6
76% 13-4
56% 9-7
47% 8-9
ATS
31% 5-11
47% 8-9
81% 13-3
59% 10-7
TTL
56% 9-7
44% 7-9-1
50% 8-8
56% 9-7-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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