WASHINGTON
WASHINGTONWASH
5-3 | Road
17
NEBRASKA
NEBRASKANEB
5-3 | Home
10
Key Game
KEY GAME
Tyler Robles
#95 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Kyle Cunanan
#91 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Tyler Robles | None-None |
| Kyle Cunanan | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON
45%
NEBRASKA
55%
▲ Edge: +15.10% (WASH)
WASHINGTON
29%
Book Odds: +240
NEBRASKA
75%
Book Odds: -298
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.5
Projected
Book Total
49.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +3.0 (Over)
Over 49.5
55%
Under 49.5
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.5
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
+7.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WASH +2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WASH)
WASH By 1-6 points
15.5%
WASH By 7-13 points
13.4%
NEB By 1-6 points
16.9%
NEB By 7-13 points
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
25
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 21
Nebraska
27.5
NEBRASKA
Book Implied: 28.50
Simulated Score
Washington
23
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 21
Nebraska
37
NEBRASKA
Book Implied: 28.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Nebraska
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nebraska
Loss
92% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Washington (+7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.5
B
Sim
Nebraska (-7.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o49.5
Loss
Proj Total: 52.5
C
Sim
o49.5
Loss
Proj Total: 60.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 31, 2026
WASH @ NEB
17 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+35.4% more
Nebraska: 148.7
vs
Washington: 109.8
Turnovers (L5)
+63.4% more
Washington: 2.2
vs
Nebraska: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WASH Score
25.0
17
NEB Score
27.5
10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.1 / 21.2
21.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards
148.7 / 109.8
132.0 / 32.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.4
0.46 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards
362.2 / 392.6
387.0 / 267.0
Turnovers
0.8 / 2.2
3.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +270 / -340
→
+240 / -298
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +9.5 / -9.5
→
+7.5 / -7.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 49.5
→
49.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WASH
5-3-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -6.0
NEB
5-3-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WASH
3-5-0
(37.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -6.0
NEB
Advantage
6-2-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WASH
4-4-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.5
NEB
3-5-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NEB
WASH
NEB
WASH
ML
88%
7-1
75%
6-2
62%
5-3
62%
5-3
ATS
25%
2-6
88%
7-1
38%
3-5
38%
3-5
TTL
38%
3-5
75%
6-2
38%
3-5
50%
4-4
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