SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTH CAROLINASC
5-3 | Road
42
OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMAOU
4-4 | Home
25
Key Game
KEY GAME
Mason Love
#24 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Tate Sandell
#29 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Mason Love | None-None |
| Tate Sandell | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SOUTH CAROLINA
29%
OKLAHOMA
71%
▲ Edge: +8.70% (OU)
SOUTH CAROLINA
41%
Book Odds: +147
OKLAHOMA
62%
Book Odds: -163
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.5
Projected
Book Total
44.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +9.5 (Over)
Over 44.0
70%
Under 44.0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.5
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
-3.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around OU -9.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
SC By 1-6 points
11.1%
SC By 7-13 points
7.6%
OU By 1-6 points
15.5%
OU By 7-13 points
19.7%
AI Model Projected Score
South Carolina
22
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 20.20
Oklahoma
31.5
OKLAHOMA
Book Implied: 23.80
Simulated Score
South Carolina
25
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 20.20
Oklahoma
27
OKLAHOMA
Book Implied: 23.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oklahoma
Loss
71% Win Prob
A
Sim
Oklahoma
Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Oklahoma (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.5
B
Sim
South Carolina (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o44.0
Win
Proj Total: 53.5
A
Sim
o44.0
Win
Proj Total: 52.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 31, 2026
SC @ OU
42 - 25
Oct 18, 2025
OU @ SC
26 - 7
Oct 19, 2024
SC @ OU
35 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+71.8% more
Oklahoma: 2.0
vs
South Carolina: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+31.4% more
South Carolina: 168.3
vs
Oklahoma: 115.5
First Downs (L5)
+16.7% more
South Carolina: 21.6
vs
Oklahoma: 18.0
Total Yards (L5)
+10.8% more
South Carolina: 404.5
vs
Oklahoma: 360.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SC Score
22.0
42
OU Score
31.5
25
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
18.0 / 21.6
24.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards
115.5 / 168.3
115.0 / 212.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.5
0.44 / 0.57
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards
360.9 / 404.5
359.0 / 521.0
Turnovers
2.0 / 1.2
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +164 / -198
→
+147 / -163
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +5.5 / -5.5
→
+3.5 / -3.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 43.5
→
44
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
Advantage
6-3-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 11.2
ATS +/-: +3.6
OU
5-4-0
(55.6%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -3.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
Advantage
5-4-0
(55.6%)
Margin: 11.2
ATS +/-: +3.6
OU
4-5-0
(44.4%)
Margin: 2.9
ATS +/-: -3.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
6-3-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.4
OU
3-6-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7%
Total +/-: -4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
SC
OU
SC
ML
67%
6-3
44%
4-5
56%
5-4
67%
6-3
ATS
56%
5-4
33%
3-6
56%
5-4
44%
4-5
TTL
44%
4-5
33%
3-6
44%
4-5
78%
7-2
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