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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

6-2-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Oct 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

5-1-1  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Devon Levi
GOALTENDER

Devon Levi

#27 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 2.01 0.917 --
Devon Levi None-None 3.10 0.870 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 Ldr GAA 3.10
0.917 Ldr Save % 0.870
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
54%
📊
OILERS
46%
▲ Edge: +0.30% (UTA)
MAMMOTH 53% Book Odds: -114
OILERS 49% Book Odds: +103
Book Implied: 53.30% / 49.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 6.5 59%
Under 6.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
EDMONTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Edmonton)
MammothUTA (-1.5) 0 OilersEDM (+1.5)
Edmonton Oilers (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

24.2%

Oilers Cover

75.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around EDM +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)

UTA By 1 goal

19.4%

UTA By 2-3 goals

33.3%

EDM By 1 goal

9.8%

EDM By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
4.2
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
2.8
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mammoth Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oilers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.4
D
Sim Oilers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Sim o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 EDM @ UTA 6 - 2
Oct 15, 2026 UTA @ EDM 4 - 2
Apr 7, 2026 EDM @ UTA 5 - 6
Mar 24, 2026 EDM @ UTA 5 - 2
Oct 28, 2025 UTA @ EDM 3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.4% more
Utah: 30.7 vs Edmonton: 22.0
Power Play % (L5) +5.5%
Utah: 26.3% vs Edmonton: 20.7%
Takeaways (L5) +33.7% more
Edmonton: 3.5 vs Utah: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 4.2 4
EDM Score 2.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.2 / 14.2 16.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 51.6 / 52.2 58.5 / 41.5
Hits 25.3 / 24.4 28.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 20.7 / 26.3 0.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 22.0 / 30.7 24.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 3.5 / 2.6 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148 → -114 / +103 ↓
19%TICKETS81%
23%MONEY77%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
40%TICKETS60%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
98%TICKETS2%
99%MONEY1%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
UTA
EDM
UTA
ML
60% 9-6
60% 9-6
53% 8-7
60% 9-6
ATS
60% 9-6
40% 6-9
47% 7-8
47% 7-8
TTL
13% 2-13
33% 5-10
33% 5-10
53% 8-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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