WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
4-1-2 | Road
3
CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
3-5-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Stuart Skinner
#74 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | None-None | 3.89 | 0.857 | -- |
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 2.92 | 0.912 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.89
GAA
Ldr 2.92
0.857
Save %
Ldr 0.912
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
56%
BLACKHAWKS
44%
▲ Edge: +1.80% (WPG)
JETS
55%
Book Odds: -120
BLACKHAWKS
48%
Book Odds: +109
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0
50%
Under 6.0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
18.9%
WPG By 2-3 goals
34.9%
CHI By 1 goal
8.6%
CHI By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.8
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.80
Chicago
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Book Implied: 3.80
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blackhawks
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 15, 2026
WPG @ CHI
3 - 4
Mar 31, 2026
WPG @ CHI
4 - 3
Mar 3, 2026
CHI @ WPG
2 - 3
Jan 19, 2026
WPG @ CHI
0 - 2
Oct 30, 2025
CHI @ WPG
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+19.9% more
Winnipeg: 19.1
vs
Chicago: 15.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.7% more
Winnipeg: 14.5
vs
Chicago: 12.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.6% more
Winnipeg: 24.2
vs
Chicago: 21.9
Power Play % (L5)
+4.4%
Winnipeg: 26.0%
vs
Chicago: 21.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.8
3
CHI Score
2.2
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.2 / 14.5
15.0 / 8.0
Faceoff %
45.2 / 45.3
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
15.3 / 19.1
19.0 / 34.0
Power Play %
21.6 / 26.0
25.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
21.9 / 24.2
28.0 / 34.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 4.2
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -148 / +124
→
-120 / +109
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
WPG
CHI
WPG
ML
73%
11-4
67%
10-5
53%
8-7
60%
9-6
ATS
60%
9-6
33%
5-10
60%
9-6
80%
12-3
TTL
29%
4-10-1
53%
8-7
64%
9-5-1
53%
8-7
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