Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kraken @ Flyers SEA @ PHI

SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

5-2-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Tue, Oct 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-5-3  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
@
Dan Vladar
GOALTENDER

Dan Vladar

#80 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Philipp Grubauer None-None 1.85 0.923 --
Dan Vladar None-None 1.85 0.935 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.85 GAA 1.85
0.923 Save % Ldr 0.935
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
43%
📊
FLYERS
57%
▲ Edge: +4.40% (PHI)
KRAKEN 50% Book Odds: -101
FLYERS 52% Book Odds: -109
Book Implied: 50.20% / 52.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 50%
Under 6.0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Philadelphia)
KrakenSEA (+1.5) 0 FlyersPHI (-1.5)
Philadelphia Flyers (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

21.2%

Flyers Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

SEA By 1 goal

8.6%

SEA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

PHI By 1 goal

18.9%

PHI By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.20
3.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.20
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flyers Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flyers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 13, 2026 SEA @ PHI 3 - 2
Dec 28, 2025 PHI @ SEA 1 - 4
Oct 20, 2025 SEA @ PHI 2 - 5
Mar 8, 2025 SEA @ PHI 4 - 1
Oct 17, 2024 PHI @ SEA 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +38.0% more
Philadelphia: 23.1 vs Seattle: 16.7
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.3% more
Seattle: 26.5 vs Philadelphia: 19.3
Takeaways (L5) +19.8% more
Seattle: 5.9 vs Philadelphia: 4.7
Power Play % (L5) +5.2%
Seattle: 16.3% vs Philadelphia: 11.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.2 3
PHI Score 3.8 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.4 / 16.6 13.0 / 17.0
Faceoff % 49.9 / 49.9 55.4 / 44.6
Hits 23.1 / 16.7 31.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 11.1 / 16.3 0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 19.3 / 26.5 26.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 4.7 / 5.9 4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +110 / -130 → -101 / -109 ↓
53%TICKETS47%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
76%TICKETS24%
73%MONEY27%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
95%TICKETS5%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SEA
PHI
SEA
ML
53% 8-7
57% 8-6
40% 6-9
43% 6-8
ATS
40% 6-9
50% 7-7
53% 8-7
64% 9-5
TTL
53% 8-7
23% 3-10-1
47% 7-8
46% 6-7-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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