NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
3-3-0 | Road
5
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
1-3-2 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 3.93 | 0.852 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 4.91 | 0.865 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.93 Ldr
GAA
4.91
0.852
Save %
Ldr 0.865
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
48%
RED WINGS
52%
DEVILS
51%
Book Odds: -105
RED WINGS
54%
Book Odds: -115
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NJ By 1 goal
9.2%
NJ By 2-3 goals
6.1%
DET By 1 goal
19.1%
DET By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 2.50
Detroit
3.5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 2.50
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Devils (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Devils (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
B
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 13, 2026
NJ @ DET
5 - 4
Apr 11, 2026
NJ @ DET
5 - 3
Mar 8, 2026
DET @ NJ
3 - 0
Nov 24, 2025
DET @ NJ
3 - 4
Apr 16, 2025
DET @ NJ
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+60.7% more
Detroit: 23.3
vs
New Jersey: 14.5
Blocked Shots (L5)
+47.5% more
Detroit: 15.8
vs
New Jersey: 10.7
Shots on Goal (L5)
+9.6% more
New Jersey: 35.5
vs
Detroit: 32.0
Power Play % (L5)
+4.3%
New Jersey: 19.6%
vs
Detroit: 15.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
2.0
5
DET Score
3.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.8 / 10.7
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
48.9 / 49.4
45.6 / 54.4
Hits
23.3 / 14.5
25.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
15.3 / 19.6
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
32.0 / 35.5
27.0 / 37.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 4.2
4.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115
→
-105 / -115
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NJ
DET
NJ
ML
64%
9-5
50%
7-7
50%
7-7
57%
8-6
ATS
36%
5-9
50%
7-7
71%
10-4
50%
7-7
TTL
21%
3-11
33%
4-8-2
36%
5-9
50%
6-6-2
Contextual Game News
Viktor Arvidsson Quietly Becoming One of NHL's Best Free-Agent S…
Elias Lindholm Silences Doubters with Stellar Third Season for B…
Emil Heineman Ejected for Knee-on-Knee Hit Injuring Oilers' Isaa…
Bruins Host Blackhawks at TD Garden: Live Score, Updates, and Hi…
Shawn Horcoff's First GM Gig Turns Into a Trial by Fire in Detro…