Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Boston College @ Georgia Tech BC @ GT

BOSTON COLLEGE

BOSTON COLLEGEBC

4-3  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Oct 24 • 3:30 PM ET
Bobby Dodd Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

2-5  |  Home

27
Key Game
Bryce LaFollette
KEY GAME

Bryce LaFollette

#96 | Punter
@
Alex Bacchetta
KEY GAME

Alex Bacchetta

#47 | Punter
Player
Bryce LaFollette None-None
Alex Bacchetta None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BOSTON COLLEGE
29%
📊
GEORGIA TECH
71%
BOSTON COLLEGE 33% Book Odds: +200
GEORGIA TECH 71% Book Odds: -245
Book Implied: 33.30% / 71%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
51.4
Projected
Book Total
50.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 (Over)
Over 50.5 54%
Under 50.5 46%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
-6.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Georgia Tech)
Boston CollegeBC (+6.5) 0 Georgia TechGT (-6.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-6.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Boston College Cover

26.0%

Georgia Tech Cover

74.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

BC By 1-6 points

11.5%

BC By 7-13 points

8.0%

GT By 1-6 points

15.7%

GT By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
21.2
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Implied: 22
30.2
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 28.50
Simulated Score
19
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Implied: 22
32
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 28.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia Tech Loss
71% Win Prob
A
Sim Georgia Tech Loss
90% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Georgia Tech (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Georgia Tech (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o50.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.4
D
Sim o50.5 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 24, 2026 BC @ GT 49 - 27
Nov 15, 2025 GT @ BC 36 - 34
Oct 21, 2023 BC @ GT 38 - 23
Nov 13, 2021 BC @ GT 41 - 30
Oct 24, 2020 GT @ BC 27 - 48
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +12.5% more
Georgia Tech: 403.3 vs Boston College: 358.4
Turnovers (L5) +14.9% more
Boston College: 1.5 vs Georgia Tech: 1.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Boston College: 0.4 vs Georgia Tech: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BC Score 21.2 49
GT Score 30.2 27
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.6 / 20.4 22.0 / 28.0
Rushing Yards 130.8 / 128.4 101.0 / 399.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.18 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 403.3 / 358.4 360.0 / 500.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.5 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +160 / -192 → +200 / -245 ↑
6%TICKETS94%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +4.5 / -4.5 → +6.5 / -6.5 ↑
40%TICKETS60%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: 49.5 → 50.5 ↑
51%TICKETS49%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BC Advantage
4-4-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -2.0
GT
2-6-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BC Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -2.0
GT
1-7-0 (12.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BC
2-6-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -2.3
GT
5-3-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +3.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GT
BC
GT
BC
ML
38% 3-5
62% 5-3
38% 3-5
62% 5-3
ATS
25% 2-6
50% 4-4
50% 4-4
62% 5-3
TTL
50% 4-4
43% 3-4-1
75% 6-2
43% 3-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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