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CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

5-1-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sun, Oct 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-5-2  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Pyotr Kochetkov
GOALTENDER

Pyotr Kochetkov

#52 | Goaltender
@
Joseph Woll
GOALTENDER

Joseph Woll

#53 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Pyotr Kochetkov None-None 1.00 0.947 --
Joseph Woll None-None 4.01 0.867 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 4.01
0.947 Ldr Save % 0.867
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
63%
📊
FLYERS
37%
▲ Edge: +3% (PHI)
HURRICANES 70% Book Odds: -230
FLYERS 35% Book Odds: +190
Book Implied: 69.70% / 34.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5 50%
Under 5.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
HurricanesCAR (-1.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

22.7%

Flyers Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around PHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

CAR By 1 goal

19.1%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.1%

PHI By 1 goal

9.2%

PHI By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.50
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
2
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 3.50
3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hurricanes Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim Flyers Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Flyers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Flyers (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2026 CAR @ PHI 4 - 1
Oct 3, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 9, 2026 CAR @ PHI 3 - 2
May 7, 2026 CAR @ PHI 4 - 1
May 4, 2026 PHI @ CAR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +42.3% more
Carolina: 33.7 vs Philadelphia: 19.4
Power Play % (L5) +14.6%
Carolina: 31.2% vs Philadelphia: 16.7%
Takeaways (L5) +8.7% more
Carolina: 4.5 vs Philadelphia: 4.1
Faceoff % (L5) +2.2%
Carolina: 52.0% vs Philadelphia: 49.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.5 4
PHI Score 2.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.1 / 11.5 14.0 / 7.0
Faceoff % 49.8 / 52.0 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 24.6 / 20.6 20.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 1666.0 / 3122.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 19.4 / 33.7 19.0 / 30.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 4.5 6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -148 / +124 → -230 / +190 ↓
97%TICKETS3%
96%MONEY4%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
72%TICKETS28%
86%MONEY14%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 5.5 ↓
89%TICKETS11%
90%MONEY10%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CAR
PHI
CAR
ML
53% 8-7
80% 12-3
40% 6-9
40% 6-9
ATS
40% 6-9
47% 7-8
53% 8-7
60% 9-6
TTL
53% 8-7
36% 5-9-1
47% 7-8
57% 8-6-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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