SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
4-2-0 | Road
5
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
3-2-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 3.00 | 0.917 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 5.20 | 0.815 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
5.20
0.917 Ldr
Save %
0.815
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
30%
CAPITALS
70%
▲ Edge: +0.90% (WSH)
KRAKEN
36%
Book Odds: +180
CAPITALS
69%
Book Odds: -218
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
SEA By 1 goal
8.6%
SEA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
WSH By 1 goal
18.9%
WSH By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Washington
3.8
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Capitals
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
Kraken
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 11, 2026
SEA @ WSH
5 - 3
Jan 27, 2026
WSH @ SEA
1 - 5
Oct 21, 2025
SEA @ WSH
1 - 4
Mar 9, 2025
SEA @ WSH
2 - 4
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ SEA
3 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+13.0% more
Washington: 21.0
vs
Seattle: 18.6
Takeaways (L5)
+33.6% more
Seattle: 5.4
vs
Washington: 3.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+8.9% more
Seattle: 19.4
vs
Washington: 17.7
Power Play % (L5)
+4.1%
Seattle: 24.4%
vs
Washington: 20.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.2
5
WSH Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.7 / 19.4
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 50.6
51.5 / 48.5
Hits
21.0 / 18.6
31.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
2037.0 / 2444.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.1 / 26.3
36.0 / 27.0
Takeaways
3.6 / 5.4
1.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +170 / -205
→
+180 / -218
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
SEA
WSH
SEA
ML
83%
10-2
57%
8-6
42%
5-7
43%
6-8
ATS
58%
7-5
50%
7-7
67%
8-4
64%
9-5
TTL
40%
4-6-2
23%
3-10-1
20%
2-8-2
46%
6-7-1
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