Home / NHL Projections NHL / Kings @ Golden Knights LA @ VGK

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-2-2  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 10 • 10:00 PM ET
T-Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

VEGAS

GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK

5-1-0  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
@
Carter Hart
GOALTENDER

Carter Hart

#79 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Darcy Kuemper None-None 1.96 0.938 --
Carter Hart None-None 0.96 0.963 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.96 GAA Ldr 0.96
0.938 Save % Ldr 0.963
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
33%
📊
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
67%
▲ Edge: +4.10% (VGK)
KINGS 41% Book Odds: +142
GOLDEN KNIGHTS 63% Book Odds: -170
Book Implied: 41.30% / 63%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 6.5 85%
Under 6.5 15%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
KingsLA (+1.5) 0 Golden KnightsVGK (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

77.3%

Golden Knights Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

LA By 1 goal

9.2%

LA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

VGK By 1 goal

19.1%

VGK By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
3.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
5
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
2
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Golden Knights Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim Kings Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kings (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
A
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 10, 2026 LA @ VGK 1 - 2
Feb 5, 2026 LA @ VGK 1 - 4
Jan 14, 2026 VGK @ LA 3 - 2
Oct 8, 2025 LA @ VGK 6 - 5
Sep 23, 2025 LA @ VGK 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.0% more
Vegas: 35.0 vs Los Angeles: 28.2
Hits (L5) +8.6% more
Vegas: 23.7 vs Los Angeles: 21.8
Power Play % (L5) +6.9%
Vegas: 21.7% vs Los Angeles: 14.9%
Takeaways (L5) +43.9% more
Los Angeles: 5.0 vs Vegas: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.5 1
VGK Score 5.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 11.7 / 15.0 14.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 48.5 / 58.2 58.6 / 41.4
Hits 23.7 / 21.8 19.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 21.7 / 14.9 66.7 / 33.3
Shots on Goal 35.0 / 28.2 32.0 / 27.0
Takeaways 2.8 / 5.0 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +136 / -162 → +142 / -170 ↑
5%TICKETS95%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
25%TICKETS75%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
91%TICKETS9%
92%MONEY8%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
LA
VGK
LA
ML
71% 10-4
45% 5-6
50% 7-7
45% 5-6
ATS
50% 7-7
64% 7-4
64% 9-5
73% 8-3
TTL
29% 4-10
18% 2-9
43% 6-8
27% 3-8
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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