LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
100-62 | Road
4
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
94-68 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Glasnow
#31 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Mahle
#54 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -- | -- |
| Tyler Mahle | 0-0 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 6 |
0-0
W-L
0-0
0.00 Ldr
ERA
1.29
0.00 Ldr
WHIP
1.00
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 6
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
50%
BRAVES
50%
▲ Edge: +5.60% (ATL)
DODGERS
61%
Book Odds: -155
BRAVES
44%
Book Odds: +128
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.5
70%
Under 7.5
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ATLANTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATL +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.5%
ATL By 1-2 runs
15.0%
ATL By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Dodgers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.5
D
Sim
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.5
A
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.762
▲
OPS
.757
204
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+58.2% more
Los Angeles: 1.9
vs
Atlanta: 0.8
Total Bases (L5)
+34.6% more
Los Angeles: 14.3
vs
Atlanta: 9.3
Hits (L5)
+27.9% more
Los Angeles: 7.7
vs
Atlanta: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.5
4
ATL Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.5 / 7.7
3.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 9.7
8.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
9.3 / 14.3
5.0 / 8.0
Walks
3.8 / 2.9
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -110 / -109
→
-155 / +128
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6
→
7.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAD
ATL
LAD
ML
46%
77-90
56%
92-73
54%
90-78
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
96-71
59%
98-67
52%
87-81
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
83-73-11
48%
77-82-6
49%
76-80-11
44%
70-90-6
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