LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
100-62 | Road
3
ATLANTA
BRAVESATL
94-68 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
#18 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Chris Sale
#51 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -- | -- |
| Chris Sale | 0-0 | 3.52 | 0.78 | 7.2 | 12 |
0-0
W-L
0-0
0.00 Ldr
ERA
3.52
0.00 Ldr
WHIP
0.78
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.2
--
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 12
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
45%
BRAVES
55%
▲ Edge: +2.90% (ATL)
DODGERS
53%
Book Odds: -112
BRAVES
52%
Book Odds: -107
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 6.5
80%
Under 6.5
20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
ATLANTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATL -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
LAD By 1-2 runs
14.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
8.9%
ATL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATL By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4
Atlanta
5.8
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4
Atlanta
4
ATLANTA
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dodgers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.6
A
Sim
Braves (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Sim
o6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
LAD @ ATL
4 - 1
Oct 6, 2026
LAD @ ATL
3 - 1
Oct 4, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 2
Oct 3, 2026
ATL @ LAD
3 - 5
Aug 27, 2026
LAD @ ATL
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Atlanta
ATL
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.94
Runs / Game
▲
5.00
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.324
.424
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.433
.762
▲
OPS
.757
204
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+40.6% more
Atlanta: 4.7
vs
Los Angeles: 3.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+1.2% more
Atlanta: 5.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.9
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.9%
Atlanta: 43.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 42.4%
Home Runs (Season)
+99.5% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Atlanta: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.2
3
ATL Score
5.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.1
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.8 / 7.5
5.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.9
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 8.6
12.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.0 / 14.4
6.0 / 14.0
Walks
4.7 / 3.4
2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -111 / -108
→
-112 / -107
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5
→
6.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
97-72-0
(57.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
ATL
Advantage
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
ATL
76-83-10
O: 47.8% / U: 52.2%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
LAD
ATL
LAD
ML
46%
77-90
56%
92-73
54%
90-78
48%
79-87
ATS
57%
96-71
59%
98-67
52%
87-81
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
83-73-11
48%
77-82-6
49%
76-80-11
44%
70-90-6
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