SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
3-2-0 | Road
6
DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
1-3-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
John Gibson
#36 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 3.00 | 0.925 | -- |
| John Gibson | None-None | 8.80 | 0.667 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.00 Ldr
GAA
8.80
0.925 Ldr
Save %
0.667
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
45%
RED WINGS
56%
KRAKEN
46%
Book Odds: +120
RED WINGS
59%
Book Odds: -142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
49%
Under 6.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
SEA By 1 goal
8.6%
SEA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
DET By 1 goal
18.9%
DET By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Detroit
3.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings
Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Wings
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Red Wings (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Kraken (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 20, 2026
DET @ SEA
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2026
SEA @ DET
6 - 3
Dec 6, 2025
DET @ SEA
4 - 3
Nov 18, 2025
SEA @ DET
2 - 4
Feb 4, 2025
DET @ SEA
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+29.6% more
Detroit: 24.4
vs
Seattle: 18.8
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.5%
Detroit: 54.0%
vs
Seattle: 49.5%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+27.7% more
Seattle: 18.1
vs
Detroit: 13.1
Takeaways (L5)
+25.1% more
Seattle: 5.5
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.2
6
DET Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.1 / 18.1
12.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
54.0 / 49.5
47.2 / 52.8
Hits
24.4 / 18.8
23.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
17.9 / 20.0
33.3 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
29.6 / 27.4
40.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 5.5
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142
→
+120 / -142
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
SEA
DET
SEA
ML
58%
7-5
58%
7-5
50%
6-6
33%
4-8
ATS
25%
3-9
50%
6-6
75%
9-3
58%
7-5
TTL
17%
2-10
27%
3-8-1
33%
4-8
45%
5-6-1
Contextual Game News
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