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CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

1-4-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Oct 8 • 7:30 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

2-2-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Arvid Soderblom
GOALTENDER

Arvid Soderblom

#40 | Goaltender
@
Ilya Sorokin
GOALTENDER

Ilya Sorokin

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Arvid Soderblom None-None 3.11 0.833 --
Ilya Sorokin None-None 1.00 0.957 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.11 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.833 Save % Ldr 0.957
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
36%
📊
ISLANDERS
64%
BLACKHAWKS 39% Book Odds: +154
ISLANDERS 65% Book Odds: -185
Book Implied: 39.40% / 64.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 50%
Under 5.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
BlackhawksCHI (+1.5) 0 IslandersNYI (-1.5)
New York Islanders (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blackhawks Cover

21.2%

Islanders Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

CHI By 1 goal

8.6%

CHI By 2-3 goals

5.5%

NYI By 1 goal

18.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
3.8
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Islanders Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim Blackhawks Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Blackhawks (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 8, 2026 CHI @ NYI 1 - 4
Mar 24, 2026 CHI @ NYI 4 - 3
Dec 30, 2025 NYI @ CHI 3 - 2
Dec 15, 2024 NYI @ CHI 3 - 5
Dec 12, 2024 CHI @ NYI 4 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +32.9% more
New York: 20.3 vs Chicago: 15.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.6% more
New York: 25.4 vs Chicago: 20.3
Takeaways (L5) +18.6% more
New York: 4.4 vs Chicago: 3.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.4% more
New York: 12.7 vs Chicago: 11.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 2.2 1
NYI Score 3.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.7 / 11.4 17.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 47.1 / 42.5 59.2 / 40.8
Hits 20.3 / 15.3 25.0 / 15.0
Power Play % 15.7 / 16.7 25.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.4 / 20.3 19.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 3.7 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +170 / -205 → +154 / -185 ↓
21%TICKETS79%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
61%TICKETS39%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
78%TICKETS22%
89%MONEY11%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
CHI
NYI
CHI
ML
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
ATS
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
80% 4-1
TTL
67% 2-1-1
25% 1-3-1
100% 3-0-1
75% 3-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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