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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

3-2-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Thu, Oct 8 • 7:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

3-2-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 4.11 0.786 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 1.00 0.973 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.11 GAA Ldr 1.00
0.786 Save % Ldr 0.973
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
36%
📊
BRUINS
64%
▲ Edge: +17.70% (BOS)
MAMMOTH 57% Book Odds: -135
BRUINS 47% Book Odds: +114
Book Implied: 57.40% / 46.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
Over 5.5 50%
Under 5.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
BOSTON
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Boston)
MammothUTA (-1.5) 0 BruinsBOS (+1.5)
Boston Bruins (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

22.7%

Bruins Cover

77.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

UTA By 1 goal

9.2%

UTA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

BOS By 1 goal

19.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2
UTAH
Book Implied: 3.50
3.5
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 3.50
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim Mammoth Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim Bruins (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
D
Sim o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 8, 2026 UTA @ BOS 1 - 6
Dec 16, 2025 UTA @ BOS 1 - 4
Oct 19, 2025 BOS @ UTA 2 - 3
Nov 21, 2024 UTA @ BOS 0 - 1
Oct 19, 2024 BOS @ UTA 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +58.6%
Utah: 58.6% vs Boston: 0.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +24.1% more
Utah: 31.1 vs Boston: 23.6
Blocked Shots (L5) +19.4% more
Utah: 16.4 vs Boston: 13.2
Faceoff % (L5) +4.8%
Utah: 55.3% vs Boston: 50.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 2.0 1
BOS Score 3.5 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.2 / 16.4 23.0 / 6.0
Faceoff % 50.4 / 55.3 46.4 / 53.6
Hits 30.0 / 28.8 23.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 58.6 75.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 23.6 / 31.1 22.0 / 37.0
Takeaways 5.0 / 4.8 6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -105 / -115 → -135 / +114 ↓
63%TICKETS37%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
50%TICKETS50%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
81%TICKETS19%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
UTA
BOS
UTA
ML
77% 10-3
62% 8-5
38% 5-8
62% 8-5
ATS
62% 8-5
46% 6-7
46% 6-7
46% 6-7
TTL
62% 8-5
31% 4-9
38% 5-8
54% 7-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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